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2024-12-13 05:40:29

AUD/USD fell in the short term, and the intraday decline expanded to 0.8%, after the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision.Sources: Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX last week. Sources said that about one month after the strike ended, Boeing restarted the production of 737 MAX aircraft last week.Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.


Reserve Bank of Australia: It will take some time for inflation to continue to reach its target. The job market is still tight. The economic situation has affected the family's discretionary expenditure. The gap between total demand and supply continues to narrow, and output growth is weak.China's 10-year government bond yield fell by 5 basis points to 1.855%, a record low.Australia's 3-year bond yields fell by 3 basis points after the RBA commented on inflation.


Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Reserve Bank of Australia: It will take some time for inflation to continue to reach its target. The job market is still tight. The economic situation has affected the family's discretionary expenditure. The gap between total demand and supply continues to narrow, and output growth is weak.The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.

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